[P2P-F] A Realistic (Holistic) Approach to Climate Mitigation

Sat Dec 31 11:44:42 CET 2016

Dear Graeme,

I suppose you are from Brisbane right, so I am copying our p2p friends
(Jose), along with my colleagues of the P2P Lab,

very best wishes:

Michel

On Fri, Dec 30, 2016 at 4:23 PM, Graeme Taylor <graeme at bestfutures.org>
wrote:

> Dear Michel,
>
> Greetings from down under! For your information I am sending you my
> article "A Realistic (Holistic) Approach to Climate Mitigation". I hope you
> and your colleagues find it interesting and useful!
>
> Here is the abstract:
>
> At this time, most climate researchers are only using a limited range of
> futures approaches:
> for example, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) future
> scenarios have been
> developed primarily with empirical predictive methods that extrapolate
> trends. These seriously
> underestimate the risk of nonlinear developments and critical failures.
> This article examines
> the Paris Climate Conference (COP) 21 agreement on climate mitigation;
> explains why
> current efforts are based on false assumptions and likely to fail; argues
> that holistic, integrative
> methods are needed to avoid disaster; and uses these methods to develop a
> practical strategy
> for accelerating systemic transformation. Despite the impressive
> diplomatic achievements of
> the Paris Agreement, there is a dangerous lag between the pace of
> political, economic, and
> technological change and the rapid (non-negotiable) rate of climate
> change. The challenge is
> to find ways to manage the conflict between the need to work within
> existing institutional
> frameworks and the reality that they are not (and may be structurally
> incapable of) acting
> quickly enough to prevent catastrophic outcomes. This dichotomy may be
> resolved by using a
> three-track strategy: the first track will focus on accelerating existing
> climate mitigation efforts
> by encouraging decision-makers to use holistic, critical-safety risk
> management methods. The
> second track will counter ideological opposition with constructive
> alternative narratives. The
> third track will help catalyze the global movement needed to empower
> structural transformation
> and the emergence of a sustainable global system. It will not be possible
> to resolve many complex
> global socioecological problems (climate, water, food, energy, growing
> inequality, etc.) without
> transformational change. Integrative, whole-systems methods are now needed
> to accelerate the
> evolution of a sustainable global system.
>
> The full article is available on-line at: http://journals.sagepub.com/
> doi/pdf/10.1177/1946756716673640
>
> Warm regards,
>
> Graeme
> Graeme Taylor, PhD
> Co-ordinator, BEST Futures (www.bestfutures.org)
> Adjunct Research Fellow, Environmental Futures Research Institute,
> Griffith University
> (61)738710642
>
>
>
>

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