<div dir="ltr">Dear Graeme,<div><br></div><div>I suppose you are from Brisbane right, so I am copying our p2p friends (Jose), along with my colleagues of the P2P Lab,</div><div><br></div><div>very best wishes:</div><div><br></div><div>Michel</div></div><div class="gmail_extra"><br><div class="gmail_quote">On Fri, Dec 30, 2016 at 4:23 PM, Graeme Taylor <span dir="ltr"><<a href="mailto:graeme@bestfutures.org" target="_blank">graeme@bestfutures.org</a>></span> wrote:<br><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0 0 0 .8ex;border-left:1px #ccc solid;padding-left:1ex">
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<p>Dear Michel, </p>
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<p>Greetings
from down
under! For
your
information I
am sending you
my article "A
Realistic
(Holistic)
Approach to
Climate
Mitigation". I
hope you and
your
colleagues
find it
interesting
and useful! <br>
</p>
<p>Here is the
abstract:</p>
<p>At this
time, most
climate
researchers
are only using
a limited
range of
futures
approaches:<br>
for example,
Intergovernmental
Panel on
Climate Change
(IPCC) future
scenarios have
been<br>
developed
primarily with
empirical
predictive
methods that
extrapolate
trends. These
seriously<br>
underestimate
the risk of
nonlinear
developments
and critical
failures. This
article
examines<br>
the Paris
Climate
Conference
(COP) 21
agreement on
climate
mitigation;
explains why<br>
current
efforts are
based on false
assumptions
and likely to
fail; argues
that holistic,
integrative<br>
methods are
needed to
avoid
disaster; and
uses these
methods to
develop a
practical
strategy<br>
for
accelerating
systemic
transformation.
Despite the
impressive
diplomatic
achievements
of<br>
the Paris
Agreement,
there is a
dangerous lag
between the
pace of
political,
economic, and<br>
technological
change and the
rapid
(non-negotiable)
rate of
climate
change. The
challenge is<br>
to find ways
to manage the
conflict
between the
need to work
within
existing
institutional<br>
frameworks and
the reality
that they are
not (and may
be
structurally
incapable of)
acting<br>
quickly enough
to prevent
catastrophic
outcomes. This
dichotomy may
be resolved by
using a<br>
three-track
strategy: the
first track
will focus on
accelerating
existing
climate
mitigation
efforts<br>
by encouraging
decision-makers to use holistic, critical-safety risk management
methods. The<br>
second track
will counter
ideological
opposition
with
constructive
alternative
narratives.
The<br>
third track
will help
catalyze the
global
movement
needed to
empower
structural
transformation<br>
and the
emergence of a
sustainable
global system.
It will not be
possible to
resolve many
complex<br>
global
socioecological
problems
(climate,
water, food,
energy,
growing
inequality,
etc.) without<br>
transformational change. Integrative, whole-systems methods are now
needed to
accelerate the<br>
evolution of a
sustainable
global system.</p>
<p>The full
article is
available
on-line at: <a class="m_-4000143769924931261moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1177/1946756716673640" target="_blank">http://journals.sagepub.com/<wbr>doi/pdf/10.1177/<wbr>1946756716673640</a>
</p>
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Warm regards,<br>
<p>Graeme</p>
Graeme Taylor,
PhD<br>
<div>
<div class="gmail_extra">Co-ordinator,
BEST Futures (<a class="m_-4000143769924931261moz-txt-link-abbreviated" href="http://www.bestfutures.org" target="_blank">www.bestfutures.org</a>)<br>
Adjunct
Research
Fellow,
Environmental
Futures
Research
Institute,
Griffith
University<br>
(61)738710642<br>
<br>
<br>
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</blockquote></div><br><br clear="all"><div><br></div>-- <br><div class="gmail_signature" data-smartmail="gmail_signature">P2P Foundation: <a href="http://p2pfoundation.net" target="_blank">http://p2pfoundation.net</a> - <a href="http://blog.p2pfoundation.net" target="_blank">http://blog.p2pfoundation.net</a> <br><br>Connect: <a href="http://p2pfoundation.ning.com" target="_blank">http://p2pfoundation.ning.com</a>; Discuss: <a href="http://lists.ourproject.org/cgi-bin/mailman/listinfo/p2p-foundation" target="_blank">http://lists.ourproject.org/cgi-bin/mailman/listinfo/p2p-foundation</a><br><br>Updates: <a href="http://del.icio.us/mbauwens" target="_blank">http://del.icio.us/mbauwens</a>; <a href="http://friendfeed.com/mbauwens" target="_blank">http://friendfeed.com/mbauwens</a>; <a href="http://twitter.com/mbauwens" target="_blank">http://twitter.com/mbauwens</a>; <a href="http://www.facebook.com/mbauwens" target="_blank">http://www.facebook.com/mbauwens</a><br><br><br><br><br></div>
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