[P2P-F] Fwd: Chile Volcano Eruption Cycle

[Michel Bauwens]

intriguing ..

---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Bob Reuschlein <bobreuschlein at gmail.com>
Date: Fri, Apr 24, 2015 at 6:11 PM
Subject: Chile Volcano Eruption Cycle
To:


Link to send or tweet to others by:

https://bobreuschlein.wordpress.com/2015/04/24/chile-volcano-eruption-cycle/



*Chile** Volcano Eruption Cycle*

By Robert Reuschlein


CNN reported yesterday the double eruption of the volcano Calbuco in Chile
on Earth Day, April 22, 2015.  Headline: Reuschlein Earth Cycle confirmed
on Earth Day.


The last three Calbuco eruptions were in 1857, 1961, and 1972.  In 54 year
cycle time, that is an exact fit for the 1961 eruption 54 years ago and
only 4 years off for the 1857 eruption 104 years before the 1961 eruption,
when 108 years would be a perfect fit.


Looking at it another way, if the 1857 eruption was right on schedule, then
the 1961 eruption would be 4 years early from the two cycle point of 1965
and the 1972 eruption would be 7 years late.  This then would indicate that
the 2015 eruption would be 4 years early from the three cycle point of 2019
and another eruption could be possible  in 2026, 7 years late from that
perspective.


*Compared to War Cycle*


The 54 year war cycle has had similar timings in the last two centuries.
Usually a major war involves the two top economies of the time.  But
sometimes the major power goes first and the second major power goes
second.  For example, the 1808 date is suggested as the average date by
history of the major conflict of that cycle.  In 1803 the Napoleanic Wars
start with France and Britain five years early, then the Americans go to
war against Britain in 1812, four years late.  At the time France was a
much more significant power than the Americans, both taking on the British
Empire.  One cycle later, with 1862 the historic average expected date,
the major power in Europe, Britain, goes to war with Russia in Crimea in
1856, six years early, and the second power, Prussia, goes to war with
France eight years late.  The American Civil War is the biggest of that
time in 1861, one year early.  The next cycle, with an expected war date of
1916, has Europe going to war in 1914, two years early, and America joining
in 1917, one year late.  The cycle after that, scheduled for 1970, has the
number one power, America, going to war five years early in Vietnam 1965,
and the number two power Soviet Russia going to war nine years late in
Afghanistan in 1979.  The possible major war of 1970 could have been the
Sino Soviet border clashes of 1969 one year early between the two largest
communist powers of the time.  But the nuclear bomb on both sides of the
Russia China conflict may have stopped the escalation of those border
clashes.  Other wise the American Civil War and the Communist Civil War
clashes were an exact 108 years apart.


*Compared to Other Natural Events*


Natural events in America provide three clear examples of a split year
double event being compared to a single event in another cycle time.  The
blizzard of 1888 was an epic event unmatched for the longest time when
similar epic blizzards occurred in 1993 and 1996, three years early in the
1993 case and exactly on the double cycle 108 year mark in the 1996 case.
But the blizzard of 1888 was on March 12-14 and the 1993 blizzard was also
on March 12-14.  Three years early, but a perfect match on days.  The 1993
blizzard was the biggest since 1888.  Then a bigger blizzard came a perfect
108 years later, but on the days of January 7-8.


The next natural event was the three biggest droughts of the twentieth
century.  They came on 1934, 1936, and 1988.  Again the second thirties
drought was the biggest, but the first was an exact fit 54 years before the
1988 drought, so the two biggest droughts of their respective cycles were
52 years apart, two years short of the perfect fit of 54 years.


The third event involves major floods of North America’s major river, the
Mississippi.  The 1938 flood was comparable to the 1993 flood  55 years
later, one year late.  Then another flood almost as big happened in 1995,
57 years after the 1938 flood.


Does the double eruption of Calbuco on the same day count as one event or
two?  I would say one event, since volcanoes often erupt multiple times in
a single eruption event, although lesser and major eruptions can usually be
separated.  In this case, both eruptions are roughly the same magnitude,
which is unusual.


*Compare to this long list of long cycle events, natural, economic, and
war:*

https://www.academia.edu/4101856/EVENTS_Weather_Economy_War_List56


Dr. Peace, Dr. Bob Reuschlein, Real Economy Institute
best contact to ask Bob to speak to your group: bobreuschlein at gmail.com
to leave message: 608-230-6640
for more info: www.realeconomy.com
(*Real Economy* and/or *Peace Economics* free pdf on request by members of
the press)
An archive of this yearlong press release campaign can be found at:
http://bobreuschlein.wordpress.com/



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