<div dir="ltr">intriguing ..<div><br><div class="gmail_quote">---------- Forwarded message ----------<br>From: <b class="gmail_sendername">Bob Reuschlein</b> <span dir="ltr"><<a href="mailto:bobreuschlein@gmail.com">bobreuschlein@gmail.com</a>></span><br>Date: Fri, Apr 24, 2015 at 6:11 PM<br>Subject: Chile Volcano Eruption Cycle<br>To: <br><br><br><div dir="ltr"><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:'Times New Roman';color:black;background-image:initial;background-repeat:initial">Link to send or tweet to
others by:</span><span style="font-family:'Times New Roman'"> </span><b><span style="font-size:16pt"></span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt"><span style="font-size:12pt"><a href="https://bobreuschlein.wordpress.com/2015/04/24/chile-volcano-eruption-cycle/" target="_blank">https://bobreuschlein.wordpress.com/2015/04/24/chile-volcano-eruption-cycle/</a></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt"><span style="font-size:12pt"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size:24pt;line-height:115%;font-family:'Times New Roman'">Chile</span></b><b><span style="font-size:24pt;line-height:115%;font-family:'Times New Roman'"> Volcano Eruption Cycle</span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:16pt;line-height:115%;font-family:'Times New Roman'">By Robert Reuschlein</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12pt;line-height:115%;font-family:'Times New Roman'"><br></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12pt;line-height:115%;font-family:'Times New Roman'">CNN reported yesterday the double eruption of the volcano
Calbuco in Chile
on Earth Day, April 22, 2015. Headline: Reuschlein
Earth Cycle confirmed on Earth Day.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12pt;line-height:115%;font-family:'Times New Roman'"><br></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12pt;line-height:115%;font-family:'Times New Roman'">The last three Calbuco eruptions were in <a href="tel:1857" value="+661857" target="_blank">1857</a>, <a href="tel:1961" value="+661961" target="_blank">1961</a>, and <a href="tel:1972" value="+661972" target="_blank">1972</a>. In 54 year cycle time, that is an exact fit
for the <a href="tel:1961" value="+661961" target="_blank">1961</a> eruption 54 years ago and only 4 years off for the <a href="tel:1857" value="+661857" target="_blank">1857</a> eruption
104 years before the <a href="tel:1961" value="+661961" target="_blank">1961</a> eruption, when 108 years would be a perfect fit.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12pt;line-height:115%;font-family:'Times New Roman'"><br></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12pt;line-height:115%;font-family:'Times New Roman'">Looking at it another way, if the <a href="tel:1857" value="+661857" target="_blank">1857</a> eruption was right on
schedule, then the <a href="tel:1961" value="+661961" target="_blank">1961</a> eruption would be 4 years early from the two cycle
point of <a href="tel:1965" value="+661965" target="_blank">1965</a> and the <a href="tel:1972" value="+661972" target="_blank">1972</a> eruption would be 7 years late. This then would indicate that the 2015
eruption would be 4 years early from the three cycle point of 2019 and another
eruption could be possible in 2026, 7
years late from that perspective.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size:14pt;line-height:115%;font-family:'Times New Roman'"><br></span></b></p><p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size:14pt;line-height:115%;font-family:'Times New Roman'">Compared
to War Cycle</span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12pt;line-height:115%;font-family:'Times New Roman'"><br></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12pt;line-height:115%;font-family:'Times New Roman'">The 54 year war cycle has had similar timings in the last
two centuries. Usually a major war
involves the two top economies of the time.
But sometimes the major power goes first and the second major power goes
second. For example, the <a href="tel:1808" value="+661808" target="_blank">1808</a> date is
suggested as the average date by history of the major conflict of that
cycle. In <a href="tel:1803" value="+661803" target="_blank">1803</a> the Napoleanic Wars start
with France and Britain five years early, then the Americans go
to war against Britain
in 1812, four years late. At the time France was a much more significant power than
the Americans, both taking on the British Empire. One cycle later, with 1862 the historic
average expected date, the major power
in Europe, Britain, goes to war with Russia in Crimea in 1856, six years early,
and the second power, Prussia, goes to war with France eight years late. The American Civil War is the biggest of that
time in 1861, one year early. The next cycle,
with an expected war date of 1916, has Europe going to war in 1914, two years
early, and America joining in 1917, one year late. The cycle after that, scheduled for 1970, has
the number one power, America,
going to war five years early in Vietnam
1965, and the number two power Soviet Russia going to war nine years late in Afghanistan
in 1979. The possible major war of 1970
could have been the Sino Soviet border clashes of 1969 one year early between
the two largest communist powers of the time.
But the nuclear bomb on both sides of the Russia China conflict may have
stopped the escalation of those border clashes.
Other wise the American Civil War and the Communist Civil War clashes were
an exact 108 years apart.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size:14pt;line-height:115%;font-family:'Times New Roman'"><br></span></b></p><p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size:14pt;line-height:115%;font-family:'Times New Roman'">Compared
to Other Natural Events</span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12pt;line-height:115%;font-family:'Times New Roman'"><br></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12pt;line-height:115%;font-family:'Times New Roman'">Natural events in America provide three clear
examples of a split year double event being compared to a single event in
another cycle time. The blizzard of <a href="tel:1888" value="+661888" target="_blank">1888</a>
was an epic event unmatched for the longest time when similar epic blizzards
occurred in 1993 and 1996, three years early in the 1993 case and exactly on
the double cycle 108 year mark in the 1996 case. But the blizzard of 1888 was on March 12-14
and the 1993 blizzard was also on March 12-14. Three years early, but a perfect match on
days. The 1993 blizzard was the biggest
since 1888. Then a bigger blizzard came
a perfect 108 years later, but on the days of January 7-8. </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12pt;line-height:115%;font-family:'Times New Roman'"><br></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12pt;line-height:115%;font-family:'Times New Roman'">The next natural event was the three biggest droughts of the
twentieth century. They came on <a href="tel:1934" value="+661934" target="_blank">1934</a>,
1936, and 1988. Again the second
thirties drought was the biggest, but the first was an exact fit 54 years
before the 1988 drought, so the two biggest droughts of their respective cycles
were 52 years apart, two years short of the perfect fit of 54 years.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12pt;line-height:115%;font-family:'Times New Roman'"><br></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12pt;line-height:115%;font-family:'Times New Roman'">The third event involves major floods of North America’s
major river, the Mississippi. The <a href="tel:1938" value="+661938" target="_blank">1938</a> flood was comparable to the 1993
flood 55 years later, one year
late. Then another flood almost as big
happened in 1995, 57 years after the 1938 flood.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12pt;line-height:115%;font-family:'Times New Roman'"><br></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12pt;line-height:115%;font-family:'Times New Roman'">Does the double eruption of Calbuco on the same day count as
one event or two? I would say one event,
since volcanoes often erupt multiple times in a single eruption event, although
lesser and major eruptions can usually be separated. In this case, both eruptions are roughly the
same magnitude, which is unusual.</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt"><b><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:'Times New Roman'"><br></span></b></p><p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt"><b><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:'Times New Roman'">Compare to this long list of long cycle events,
natural, economic, and war:</span></b></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:0.0001pt"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:'Times New Roman'"><a href="https://www.academia.edu/4101856/EVENTS_Weather_Economy_War_List56" target="_blank">https://www.academia.edu/4101856/EVENTS_Weather_Economy_War_List56</a></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:'Times New Roman';color:rgb(51,51,51)"><br></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:12pt;font-family:'Times New Roman';color:rgb(51,51,51)">Dr. Peace, Dr. Bob Reuschlein,
Real Economy Institute<br>
best contact to ask Bob to speak to your group: <a href="mailto:bobreuschlein@gmail.com" target="_blank">bobreuschlein@gmail.com</a><br>
to leave message: 608-230-6640<br>
for more info: <a href="http://www.realeconomy.com" target="_blank">www.realeconomy.com</a><br>
(<i>Real Economy</i> and/or <i>Peace
Economics</i> free pdf on request by members of the press)<br>
An archive of this yearlong press release campaign can be found at: <a href="http://bobreuschlein.wordpress.com/" target="_blank">http://bobreuschlein.wordpress.com/</a></span></p></div>
</div><br><br clear="all"><div><br></div>-- <br><div class="gmail_signature"><div dir="ltr"><div><div dir="ltr"><div>Check out the Commons Transition Plan here at: <a href="http://commonstransition.org" target="_blank">http://commonstransition.org</a> </div><div><br></div>P2P Foundation: <a href="http://p2pfoundation.net" target="_blank">http://p2pfoundation.net</a> - <a href="http://blog.p2pfoundation.net" target="_blank">http://blog.p2pfoundation.net</a> <br><br><a href="http://lists.ourproject.org/cgi-bin/mailman/listinfo/p2p-foundation" target="_blank"></a>Updates: <a href="http://twitter.com/mbauwens" target="_blank">http://twitter.com/mbauwens</a>; <a href="http://www.facebook.com/mbauwens" target="_blank">http://www.facebook.com/mbauwens</a><br><br>#82 on the (En)Rich list: <a href="http://enrichlist.org/the-complete-list/" target="_blank">http://enrichlist.org/the-complete-list/</a> <br></div></div></div></div>
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