[P2P-F] Fwd: Journal of Futures Studies - Newsletter

[Michel Bauwens]

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From: JFS <jfs at mail2.tku.edu.tw>
Date: Wed, Aug 6, 2014 at 11:52 AM
Subject: Journal of Futures Studies - Newsletter
To: Michel <michel at p2pfoundation.net>


           The Journal of Futures Studies - August 2014    View this email
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                           Journal
of Futures Studies
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Newsletter* - Vol. 18 No. 4
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  *Articles*
Collaborative Futures: Integrating Foresight with Design in Large Scale
Innovation Processes-Seeing and Seeding the Futures of Europe
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By Angela Wilkinson, Martin Mayer & Verena Ringler

Large scale societal and political changes can be enabled via open and
collaborative innovation processes in which diverse interests collaborate
to co-create the future. These social learning processes do not claim to
know about the future but instead call for learning with alternative
futures to become more agile and adaptive, overcome inertia and create
movement. We illustrate this process of large scale systems transition
through reference to a specific case study on the futures of Europe. The
initiative combines a variety of futures methods – scenarios, visioning and
value creation modeling – to support an open-ended process of collaborative
innovation and empower the co-creation of new potentialities. Learning
developed in this multi-stakeholder, multi-method transformational
foresight initiative is relevant to a wide range of scholars and
practitioners in different fields with interests in collabrative strategy,
complex systems redesign, transition management. Key lessons include the
value of convening both institutional insiders and outsiders, the benefits
of opening up the past to look forward, and the resourcing challenges in
sustaining an open-ended process and nourishing a new and still fragile
network of actors.

The Futures of Islamic Banking in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC)
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By Nedal El-Ghattis

The purpose of this paper is to discuss the discourses that concern the
futures of Islamic banking in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). The
Futures Triangle method is employed to provide insights into existing
social dynamics affecting Islamic Banking. These futures will be profoundly
affected by knowing whether the factors that contributed to the
establishment of Islamic banking and finance are still in existence and
still effective or not. A discussion on what the future directions of those
factors are and whether they will evolve to become new factors is also
included.

CLA as Process: Mapping the Theory and Practice of the Multiple
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by Marcus Bussey

This paper argues that Causal Layered Analysis aka CLA is a method of the
multiple that offers a process–theory of knowledge that facilitates new
becomings and alternative futures. It makes the case that agency and social
learning are enhanced through understanding human contexts as layered and
dynamic. To do so it draws on the work of French philosophers Deleuze and
Guattari who offer the organic metaphor of the rhizome as a way to
understand the hybrid and multiple nature of reality. CLA is an ideal
vehicle for articulating this insight and enabling futures practitioners in
their work to empower those in contexts to realise their preferred futures.


Using Causal Layered Analysis to Understand the Alliance between Social
Workers with Their Professional Association
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by Gilbert Fan & Joan N. W. Khng

The decline of professional associations due to the advent of new
technologies and the expanded function of social service agencies to
professionalize the social worker have impacted the level of alliance of
professionals with their professional association. How aligned
professionals regard themselves in relation to their professional
association has implications for the challenges faced by such associations
and as well as their possible futures. This article introduces how Casual
Layered Analysis (CLA) can be applied to analyse and understand the level
of alliance of social workers in Singapore with their professional
association and the probable futures of the Association. This methodology
employs an interpretative and critical approach to analyse the data to
uncover layers of “truths” that are intended to help develop possible
futures for the issue under study, as well as the action steps required to
form that future. It allows in-depth insights into different ways of
understanding underlying issues inherent in a phenomenon as well as
proposing possible solutions, with adherence to methodological and
scientific rigor. By taking the data through four intertwining layers of
analysis, namely Litany, Systemic (Social Causes), Worldview and Myth or
Metaphor, the research process promotes critical reflection and
interpretation of data. Numerous underlying and concealed issues are
revealed, in a way that cannot be accomplished using other mainstream
research methods.

The Effects of Scenario Planning on Antecedents to Participant Engagement
at Work
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by Helen Allison Hawkins & Thomas J. Chermack

This study sought to understand the effects of scenario planning on
antecedents to participant employee engagement at work. The study used the
Gallup Q12 as the measure of antecedents to engagement and was a
quasi-experimental pretest / posttest with treatment and control group
design. A comparison of the pretest and posttest results did not show a
significant difference for either the treatment or control groups. The
research results are discussed as well as limitations and attempts at
distilling what can be learned from the non-significant findings.
  Reports
Law Enforcement Leadership for a Changing World
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by Michael Outram, Rainer Brenner, Dougal McClelland & Anders Dorph

Executive Summary of the 2013‑14 State of the Future
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By Jerome Glenn