*Open Source Indicators program* *http://www.iarpa.gov/solicitations_osi.html* "*IARPA’s Open Source Indicators (OSI) Program* aims to fill this gap by developing methods for continuous, *automated analysis of publicly available data in order to anticipate and/or detect significant societal events, such as political crises, humanitarian crises, mass violence, riots, mass migrations, disease outbreaks, economic instability, resource shortages, and responses to natural disasters.* Performers will be evaluated on the basis of warnings that they deliver about real-world events." "Are you a scientist or engineer with a creative idea that you think could provide the nation with an overwhelming intelligence advantage? Do you want the opportunity to turn your idea into a revolutionary capability? If so, consider joining IARPA as a Program Manager." -- http://www.iarpa.gov/join.html http://www.iarpa.gov/open_solicitations.html ---------- Forwarded message ---------- From: S Date: Tue, Aug 30, 2011 at 6:29 PM Subject: IARPA Seeks Better Forecasting Software: Can We Provide Any? To: [email protected] "Are you a scientist or engineer with a creative idea that you think could provide the nation with an overwhelming intelligence advantage? Do you want the opportunity to turn your idea into a revolutionary capability? If so, consider joining IARPA as a Program Manager." -- http://www.iarpa.gov/join.html http://www.iarpa.gov/open_solicitations.html *Open Source Indicators program* *http://www.iarpa.gov/solicitations_osi.html*<http://www.iarpa.gov/solicitations_osi.html> Many significant societal events are preceded and/or followed by population-level changes in communication, consumption, and movement. Some of these changes may be indirectly observable from publicly available data, such as web search queries, blogs, micro-blogs, internet traffic, financial markets, traffic webcams, Wikipedia edits, and many others. Published research has found that some of these data sources are individually useful in the early detection of events such as disease outbreaks. But few methods have been developed for anticipating or detecting unexpected events by fusing publicly available data of multiple types from multiple sources. IARPA’s Open Source Indicators (OSI) Program aims to fill this gap by developing methods for continuous, automated analysis of publicly available data in order to anticipate and/or detect significant societal events, such as political crises, humanitarian crises, mass violence, riots, mass migrations, disease outbreaks, economic instability, resource shortages, and responses to natural disasters. Performers will be evaluated on the basis of warnings that they deliver about real-world events. Required technical innovations include: development of methods that leverage population behavior change in anticipation of, and in response to, events of interest; processing of publicly available data that reflect those population behavior changes; development of data extraction techniques that focus on volume, rather than depth, by identifying shallow features of data that correlate with events; development of multivariate time series models robust to non-stationary, noisy data to reveal patterns that precede events; and innovative use of statistical methods to fuse combinations of time series for generating probabilistic warnings of events. If successful, OSI methods will “beat the news” by fusing early indicators of events from multiple publicly available data sources and types. Proposers' Day Briefings - OSI Overview<http://www.iarpa.gov/OSI_Presentations/OSI_Overview_Briefing.pdf> - IARPA Overview<http://www.iarpa.gov/OSI_Presentations/IARPA_Overview_Brief_August_2011.pdf> - Contracting Brief<http://www.iarpa.gov/OSI_Presentations/Contracting_Officer_Presentation.pdf> - Contracting Agent Overview<http://www.iarpa.gov/OSI_Presentations/DOI_NBC_OSI_Proposers_Day_Presentation.pdf> - UCSD<http://www.iarpa.gov/OSI_Presentations/1_OSI_proposers_Day_Presentation_Elkan.pdf> - UIUC<http://www.iarpa.gov/OSI_Presentations/2_OSI_Proposers_day_Presentation_Nardulli.pdf> - Harvard<http://www.iarpa.gov/OSI_Presentations/3_OSI_proposers_Day_Presentation_Harvard.pdf> - MIT<http://www.iarpa.gov/OSI_Presentations/4_OSI_proposers_Day_Presentation_Gloor.pdf> - Seatuket<http://www.iarpa.gov/OSI_Presentations/5_OSI_proposers_Day_Presentation_SETCOM.pdf> - NMT<http://www.iarpa.gov/OSI_Presentations/6_OSI_proposers_Day_Presentation_Glass.pdf> - SSA<http://www.iarpa.gov/OSI_Presentations/7_OSI_proposers_Day_Presentation_SSA.pdf> - Mercyhurst<http://www.iarpa.gov/OSI_Presentations/8_OSI_proposers_Day_Presentation_Mercyhurst.pdf> - Ascel Bio<http://www.iarpa.gov/OSI_Presentations/9_OSI_proposers_Day_Presentation_Ascel_Bio_LLC.pdf> - Omnis<http://www.iarpa.gov/OSI_Presentations/10_OSI_Proposers_Day_Presentation_Omnis.pdf> - Logos<http://www.iarpa.gov/OSI_Presentations/11_OSI_proposers_Day_Presentation_Logos.pdf> - Recorded Future<http://www.iarpa.gov/OSI_Presentations/12_OSI_proposers_Day_Presentation_Recorded_Future.pdf> - Centra<http://www.iarpa.gov/OSI_Presentations/13_OSI_proposers_Day_Presentation_CENTRA.pdf> - Penn State<http://www.iarpa.gov/OSI_Presentations/14_OSI_proposers_Day_Presentation_PSU.pdf> - USC<http://www.iarpa.gov/OSI_Presentations/15_OSI_proposers_Day_Presentation_ISI.pdf> Proposers' Day Posters - Bharti<http://www.iarpa.gov/OSI_Presentations/Posters/Bharti_OSI_Proposers_Day_Poster.pdf> - inTTensity<http://www.iarpa.gov/OSI_Presentations/Posters/inTTensity_Poster.pdf> - Mercyhurst<http://www.iarpa.gov/OSI_Presentations/Posters/Mercyhurst_OSI_poster_72511.pdf> - Carnegie Mellon<http://www.iarpa.gov/OSI_Presentations/Posters/OSI_Proposers_Day_Poster_Carley_Carnegie_Mellon_2011-big.pdf> - MIT<http://www.iarpa.gov/OSI_Presentations/Posters/OSI_Proposers_Day_Poster_Gloor.pdf> - NSF Cake<http://www.iarpa.gov/OSI_Presentations/Posters/IUCRC-CAKE_OSI_Proposers_Day_Poster-24x36.pdf> -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Global Survival" group. To post to this group, send email to [email protected] To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [email protected] For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/global-survival?hl=en PROJECTS * Global Survival System http://www.automenta.com/global-survival-system * Collective Intelligence Magnifier http://www.google.com/url?sa=D&q=https://docs.google.com/present/view%3Fid%3... * Mailpool http://mattmahoney.net/agi2.html * Blogpool http://blog.automenta.com/2011/08/blogpool-system-design.html