Open Source Indicators program
"Are you a scientist or engineer with a creative idea that you think could provide the nation with an overwhelming intelligence advantage? Do you want the opportunity to turn your idea into a revolutionary capability? If so, consider joining IARPA as a Program Manager." -- http://www.iarpa.gov/join.html
http://www.iarpa.gov/open_solicitations.html
"Are you a scientist or engineer with a creative idea that you think could provide the nation with an overwhelming intelligence advantage? Do you want the opportunity to turn your idea into a revolutionary capability? If so, consider joining IARPA as a Program Manager." -- http://www.iarpa.gov/join.html
http://www.iarpa.gov/open_solicitations.html
Open Source Indicators program
http://www.iarpa.gov/solicitations_osi.html
Many significant societal events are preceded and/or followed by population-level changes in communication, consumption, and movement. Some of these changes may be indirectly observable from publicly available data, such as web search queries, blogs, micro-blogs, internet traffic, financial markets, traffic webcams, Wikipedia edits, and many others. Published research has found that some of these data sources are individually useful in the early detection of events such as disease outbreaks. But few methods have been developed for anticipating or detecting unexpected events by fusing publicly available data of multiple types from multiple sources.
IARPA’s Open Source Indicators (OSI) Program aims to fill this gap by developing methods for continuous, automated analysis of publicly available data in order to anticipate and/or detect significant societal events, such as political crises, humanitarian crises, mass violence, riots, mass migrations, disease outbreaks, economic instability, resource shortages, and responses to natural disasters. Performers will be evaluated on the basis of warnings that they deliver about real-world events.
Required technical innovations include: development of methods that
leverage population behavior change in anticipation of, and in response
to, events of interest; processing of publicly available data that
reflect those population behavior changes; development of data
extraction techniques that focus on volume, rather than depth, by
identifying shallow features of data that correlate with events;
development of multivariate time series models robust to non-stationary,
noisy data to reveal patterns that precede events; and innovative use
of statistical methods to fuse combinations of time series for
generating probabilistic warnings of events. If successful, OSI methods
will “beat the news” by fusing early indicators of events from multiple
publicly available data sources and types.