<html><body><div style="color:#000; background-color:#fff; font-family:times new roman, new york, times, serif;font-size:12pt"><div><span></span></div><div><br></div> <div style="font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'times new roman', 'new york', times, serif; "> <div style="font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'times new roman', 'new york', times, serif; "> <div dir="ltr"> <font size="2" face="Arial"> ----- Forwarded Message -----<br> <b><span style="font-weight:bold;">From:</span></b> Institute for New Economic Thinking <Institute_for_New_Economic_Think@mail.vresp.com><br> <b><span style="font-weight: bold;">To:</span></b> dharao4@yahoo.co.uk <br> <b><span style="font-weight: bold;">Sent:</span></b> Thursday, 2 February 2012, 3:03<br> <b><span style="font-weight: bold;">Subject:</span></b> John Kay: Why Economics Needs Eclecticism<br> </font> </div> <br><div id="yiv2091605567">
<title>John Kay: Why Economics Needs Eclecticism</title>
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Hi Robert Searle,
<br>
<br><div><div>Today INET presents you an interview with John Kay, who calls for a healthy dose of eclecticism in economics.</div></div><div><br></div>
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John Kay: The Limits of Consistency and Rigor, and Why Economics Needs Eclecticism</h3>
<div style="clear: both; background-color: transparent; margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 10px; margin-left: 0px; padding-top: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; border-top-style: none; border-right-style: none; border-bottom-style: none; border-left-style: none; border-top-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-left-width: 0px; border-top-color: black; border-right-color: black; border-bottom-color: black; border-left-color: black; line-height: 1.5; font-size: 12px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-weight: normal; width: 100%; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; ">
<a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://cts.vresp.com/c/?InstituteforNewEcono/dc52d6219f/4a6f2ba2fa/38857c4d74/utm_content=dharao4%40yahoo.co.uk&utm_source=VerticalResponse&utm_medium=Email&utm_term=&utm_campaign=John%20Kay%3A%20Why%20Economics%20Needs%20Eclecticism"><img align="left" hspace="12" vspace="7" src="http://img-ak.verticalresponse.com/media/8/d/9/8d99468beb/dc52d6219f/6701262925/library/kay-600px.jpg" alt="kay-600px" title="kay-600px" border="0" width="250" height="141" style="width:250px;height:141px;"></a><div>Previously, INET presented a paper by John Kay that examined the relationship between modern economics and the world we live in. Kay, Fellow at St. John’s College of Oxford University and Visiting Professor at the London School of Economics, presented methodological critiques of economics in general, and of DSGE models and rational expectations in particular. The paper incited wide-ranging debate, and INET
posted on its website several responses to the article from other prominent economists (<a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://cts.vresp.com/c/?InstituteforNewEcono/dc52d6219f/4a6f2ba2fa/c4c599c5d4/utm_content=dharao4%40yahoo.co.uk&utm_source=VerticalResponse&utm_medium=Email&utm_term=Michael%20Woodford&utm_campaign=John%20Kay%3A%20Why%20Economics%20Needs%20Eclecticism">Michael Woodford</a>, <a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://cts.vresp.com/c/?InstituteforNewEcono/dc52d6219f/4a6f2ba2fa/ccdeac1fdf/utm_content=dharao4%40yahoo.co.uk&utm_source=VerticalResponse&utm_medium=Email&utm_term=Roger%20Guesnerie&utm_campaign=John%20Kay%3A%20Why%20Economics%20Needs%20Eclecticism">Roger Guesnerie</a>, <a rel="nofollow" target="_blank"
href="http://cts.vresp.com/c/?InstituteforNewEcono/dc52d6219f/4a6f2ba2fa/938c5a16fd/utm_content=dharao4%40yahoo.co.uk&utm_source=VerticalResponse&utm_medium=Email&utm_term=Paul%20Davidson&utm_campaign=John%20Kay%3A%20Why%20Economics%20Needs%20Eclecticism">Paul Davidson</a>, and <a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://cts.vresp.com/c/?InstituteforNewEcono/dc52d6219f/4a6f2ba2fa/467f59d4cc/utm_content=dharao4%40yahoo.co.uk&utm_source=VerticalResponse&utm_medium=Email&utm_term=Giovanni%20Dosi&utm_campaign=John%20Kay%3A%20Why%20Economics%20Needs%20Eclecticism">Giovanni Dosi</a>).</div><div><br></div><div>Today, INET presents you a video interview with John Kay in which he discusses the state of economics with INET Executive Director Rob Johnson. Kay suggests that economics has focused too much on axiomatic and deductive reasoning and has been constrained by the simplifying assumptions that such an agenda imposes. The
exclusion of inductive reasoning in the name of consistency and rigor is not how real science advances, he says. Economics would benefit from a healthy dose of eclecticism.</div><br><a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://cts.vresp.com/c/?InstituteforNewEcono/dc52d6219f/4a6f2ba2fa/b8df89e153/utm_content=dharao4%40yahoo.co.uk&utm_source=VerticalResponse&utm_medium=Email&utm_term=Link%20to%20video&utm_campaign=John%20Kay%3A%20Why%20Economics%20Needs%20Eclecticism" id="yiv2091605567">Link to video</a><div><br></div></div>
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<img style="width:55px;height:55px;" src="http://img-ak.verticalresponse.com/media/8/d/9/8d99468beb/dc52d6219f/49963b18e6/library/team-enno.JPG" alt="team-enno" title="team-enno" height="55" hspace="7" vspace="0" width="55" align="right" border="0">Kind regards,<br>Enno Schröder<br>Manager INET Online<br></div>
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History of Economics Playground</h3>
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David Tuckett: How Stories about Economic Fundamentals Drive Financial Markets</h3>
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<div><a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://cts.vresp.com/c/?InstituteforNewEcono/dc52d6219f/4a6f2ba2fa/89853a5fd5/utm_content=dharao4%40yahoo.co.uk&utm_source=VerticalResponse&utm_medium=Email&utm_term=&utm_campaign=John%20Kay%3A%20Why%20Economics%20Needs%20Eclecticism"><img src="http://img-ak.verticalresponse.com/media/8/d/9/8d99468beb/dc52d6219f/a594f072a4/library/tuckett-rob-interview-600px.jpg" alt="tuckett-rob-interview-600px" title="tuckett-rob-interview-600px" align="left" border="0" hspace="7" vspace="7" width="160" height="90" style="width:160px;height:90px;"></a>Fund managers cannot possibly know what the future will bring, yet they have to commit today to holding assets that promise a return tomorrow. Such a commitment requires confidence -- confidence that is hard to come by in the face of uncertainty. To cope with the uncertainty, fund managers rely on gut feelings and invent stories that justify their decisions.
In the end, it is stories and emotions that drive financial markets. That is, in a nutshell, the theory of asset pricing developed by David Tuckett.</div><div><br></div><div><a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://cts.vresp.com/c/?InstituteforNewEcono/dc52d6219f/4a6f2ba2fa/67f0d184b2/utm_content=dharao4%40yahoo.co.uk&utm_source=VerticalResponse&utm_medium=Email&utm_term=Link%20to%20video&utm_campaign=John%20Kay%3A%20Why%20Economics%20Needs%20Eclecticism" id="yiv2091605567">Link to video</a></div><div><br></div></div>
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The Money View</h3>
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<a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://cts.vresp.com/c/?InstituteforNewEcono/dc52d6219f/4a6f2ba2fa/9398327661/utm_content=dharao4%40yahoo.co.uk&utm_source=VerticalResponse&utm_medium=Email&utm_term=&utm_campaign=John%20Kay%3A%20Why%20Economics%20Needs%20Eclecticism"><img style="width:161px;height:91px;" src="http://img-ak.verticalresponse.com/media/8/d/9/8d99468beb/dc52d6219f/4097dd9037/library/money-view-thumbnail-300px%202.jpg" alt="money-view-thumbnail-300px" title="money-view-thumbnail-300px" height="91" hspace="7" vspace="7" width="161" align="right" border="0"></a><a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://cts.vresp.com/c/?InstituteforNewEcono/dc52d6219f/4a6f2ba2fa/b27a32357f/utm_content=dharao4%40yahoo.co.uk&utm_source=VerticalResponse&utm_medium=Email&utm_term=Bank%20or%20No%20Bank%3F%20A%20Money%20View%20of%20SDRs&utm_campaign=John%20Kay%3A%20Why%20Economics%20Needs%20Eclecticism">Bank or No Bank?
A Money View of SDRs</a><div><font size="1">by DANIEL NEILSON</font></div><div>In a market economy, when you need something, you go out and buy it. Liquidity is no different, in that respect at least. If it is market liquidity that you need, you go to a dealer, who stands ready to buy what you are selling. You pay for the convenience, though—the dealer is getting more for the same asset than you are. ...<div><a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://cts.vresp.com/c/?InstituteforNewEcono/dc52d6219f/4a6f2ba2fa/6316182ad9/utm_content=dharao4%40yahoo.co.uk&utm_source=VerticalResponse&utm_medium=Email&utm_term=&utm_campaign=John%20Kay%3A%20Why%20Economics%20Needs%20Eclecticism"><br></a><div><div><a rel="nofollow" target="_blank"
href="http://cts.vresp.com/c/?InstituteforNewEcono/dc52d6219f/4a6f2ba2fa/f6749e19ef/utm_content=dharao4%40yahoo.co.uk&utm_source=VerticalResponse&utm_medium=Email&utm_term=Why%20did%20the%20ECB%20LTROs%20help%3F&utm_campaign=John%20Kay%3A%20Why%20Economics%20Needs%20Eclecticism">Why did the ECB LTROs help?</a></div><div><font size="1">by PERRY MEHRLING</font></div><div>From a money view perspective, the central issue is settlement of TARGET balances between national central banks within the Eurozone, and the key is to understand TARGET balances as a kind of interbank correspondent balance. ...</div></div></div></div></div>
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Moritz Schularick: Credit Booms Gone Bust</h3>
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<a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://cts.vresp.com/c/?InstituteforNewEcono/dc52d6219f/4a6f2ba2fa/89ab049016/utm_content=dharao4%40yahoo.co.uk&utm_source=VerticalResponse&utm_medium=Email&utm_term=&utm_campaign=John%20Kay%3A%20Why%20Economics%20Needs%20Eclecticism"><img align="left" hspace="7" vspace="7" src="http://img-ak.verticalresponse.com/media/8/d/9/8d99468beb/dc52d6219f/46edbba004/library/schularick-600px.jpg" alt="schularick-600px" title="schularick-600px" border="0" width="160" height="90" style="width:160px;height:90px;"></a>Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff tell the history of financial crisis as a tale of excessive public debt. But what more commonly drives financial instability, says Moritz Schularick, is excessive private debt. Financial crises are credit booms gone bust. Schularick and his collaborators compile a long-run data set of disaggregated credit flows, separating loans for productive investment from
loans for the purchase of existing assets. A marriage of economic history and modern statistical methods to investigate the role of finance in the macroeconomy -- this is new economic thinking.<br><br><a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://cts.vresp.com/c/?InstituteforNewEcono/dc52d6219f/4a6f2ba2fa/20610414e8/utm_content=dharao4%40yahoo.co.uk&utm_source=VerticalResponse&utm_medium=Email&utm_term=Link%20to%20video&utm_campaign=John%20Kay%3A%20Why%20Economics%20Needs%20Eclecticism" id="yiv2091605567">Link to video</a><div><br></div></div>
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Students: Join Us in Berlin</h3>
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<img align="left" hspace="7" vspace="7" src="http://img-ak.verticalresponse.com/media/8/d/9/8d99468beb/dc52d6219f/7c0a11c78b/library/berlin-brandenburg-gate%202.jpg" alt="berlin-brandenburg-gate 2" title="berlin-brandenburg-gate 2" border="0" width="161" height="121" style="width:161px;height:121px;"><div>INET’s Young Scholar Initiative (YSI) will be hosting a select group of graduate students at its third annual plenary conference in Berlin, April 12-15, 2012, “Paradigm Lost: Rethinking Economics and Politics.” Check out the conference <a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://cts.vresp.com/c/?InstituteforNewEcono/dc52d6219f/4a6f2ba2fa/e88ee2554a/utm_content=dharao4%40yahoo.co.uk&utm_source=VerticalResponse&utm_medium=Email&utm_term=program%20here%2C&utm_campaign=John%20Kay%3A%20Why%20Economics%20Needs%20Eclecticism">program here,</a> and fill out a brief <a rel="nofollow" target="_blank"
href="http://cts.vresp.com/c/?InstituteforNewEcono/dc52d6219f/4a6f2ba2fa/5b1ae217bf/utm_content=dharao4%40yahoo.co.uk&utm_source=VerticalResponse&utm_medium=Email&utm_term=application%20here&utm_campaign=John%20Kay%3A%20Why%20Economics%20Needs%20Eclecticism">application here</a>. (INET will cover all travel and accommodation expense.)</div><div><br></div><div>Find more <a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://cts.vresp.com/c/?InstituteforNewEcono/dc52d6219f/4a6f2ba2fa/631cc345b0/utm_content=dharao4%40yahoo.co.uk&utm_source=VerticalResponse&utm_medium=Email&utm_term=info%20here&utm_campaign=John%20Kay%3A%20Why%20Economics%20Needs%20Eclecticism">info here</a>.</div></div>
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Economists: A Profession at Sea Without an Anchor</h3>
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<div>Economics needs to find a new way forward if it is to remain relevant to today's society. In an essay for Time Magazine, INET Executive Director Rob Johnson suggests remedies to get economics and society back on course. <a rel="nofollow" target="_blank" href="http://cts.vresp.com/c/?InstituteforNewEcono/dc52d6219f/4a6f2ba2fa/a6a406dc70" id="yiv2091605567">Click here</a></div></div>
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