[P2P-F] Fwd: ZNet Commentary: Alex Doherty: Climate and the Pentagon
Michel Bauwens
michel at p2pfoundation.net
Wed Nov 5 14:10:53 CET 2014
---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: ZCommunications <michael.albert at zmag.org>
Date: Wed, Nov 5, 2014 at 8:03 AM
Subject: ZNet Commentary: Alex Doherty: Climate and the Pentagon
To: michelsub2004 at gmail.com
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<http://send.zcomm.org/wf/click?upn=CfxvrCXFYELtZdskNZLHR0dIc259CbJPYYp2kQLFwMHZA7ZSf1phARdauqZ6iGpAOoH1V9nsbbgR-2FOKY5SgVc7OU-2FnV5cSB-2FBb8fLdSRrfnPWLmZWmNL6AuhbKbdR-2F761nU9tGwJ65LyYzbCo9rgPP2pLxEiVYPOBJLJXm83uoA-3D_V-2FUUiW5KvBPNV-2FItFYsbuIFOqr58NacNTIV3-2FGcH-2BSA7oIseIVu-2BQfUQBBvdRTxBo-2BqfQBKzp6bKu3Z57SfJa4wKNFXmyEgO8FqqAX7B-2F3HMOP-2F-2BnExNhgoJK6FNhe8vikceRzhKf0VYJStANO3kurooJcObrC8UfZI0hpZCjlijFgtIgWy32aPNsl-2BpF5v2cOE-2FQKM79HCuwrc6mSOA2Wf2E8aHExSuQ24kmPeiQyg-3D>.
Alex Doherty: Climate and the PentagonZ Communications Daily Commentary
In spite of the scientific consensus, the question of human responsibility
for global climate change remains a topic of debate
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within
American political culture. Nonetheless, the United States Department of
Defence (DoD), not needing to concern itself with manufactured controversies
<http://send.zcomm.org/wf/click?upn=CfxvrCXFYELtZdskNZLHR0dIc259CbJPYYp2kQLFwMHZA7ZSf1phARdauqZ6iGpAOoH1V9nsbbgR-2FOKY5SgVc7OU-2FnV5cSB-2FBb8fLdSRrfmBzEHgtTzASrvvps0-2Fv0LPkn-2FZREGdxbtl1wOltSAJN6iva0JMhqW1ZCSWfem2V6M-3D_V-2FUUiW5KvBPNV-2FItFYsbuIFOqr58NacNTIV3-2FGcH-2BSA7oIseIVu-2BQfUQBBvdRTxBo-2BqfQBKzp6bKu3Z57SfJa03P03BzhrCZFZegRBxh-2BT3Tg1eq8jL6ycfLvcMVJd-2B6wqkjFGuY44FhTyUjCjOAufBTkCmZ62nORV8FEs9LEZnA1LDrpb5Ot0Yq-2FH1rYqoWlfLBSc-2BOLgBC2ZIr2YX70QFKtPlqkhjKibDFbcoH20c-3D>
of
this nature, is pushing forward with its plans for adapting to climate
change. Earlier this month the department released its ‘Climate Change
Roadmap
<http://send.zcomm.org/wf/click?upn=CfxvrCXFYELtZdskNZLHR0dIc259CbJPYYp2kQLFwMHZA7ZSf1phARdauqZ6iGpAOoH1V9nsbbgR-2FOKY5SgVc7OU-2FnV5cSB-2FBb8fLdSRrfklTfpIn61b4oLIyHTyIDx-2FtU6kSnejzwSmbRKCnuiGdTD4Fd0VuI3p7e1UsjNc6Js-3D_V-2FUUiW5KvBPNV-2FItFYsbuIFOqr58NacNTIV3-2FGcH-2BSA7oIseIVu-2BQfUQBBvdRTxBo-2BqfQBKzp6bKu3Z57SfJa53Vo1IWiHjwQ7weknufg3Q-2Fd0IGihyjTQ3d-2Fqt4jFj9LFSEqHkTI8ZoAxVeYjlorhvczW5y5nXBAWe288Qp277hqpdnmjpafnjbBWMyvB6RVuZELRnr1qQK2gcypyTygWLRazkMJZ2ifcTXyzbN8XE-3D>‘
which details the various challenges the US military will face as climate
change continues, and its effects intensify. Describing climate change as a
“threat multiplier” the document is unambiguous about the seriousness of
the threat posed:
“Climate change will affect the Department of Defense’s ability to defend
the Nation and poses immediate risks to U.S. national security.”
The roadmap is part of a broader trend of military forces across the globe
devoting greater attention, and resources, to the problems posed by climate
change. According to the Global Security Defense Index
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70%
of the world’s nations have now declared that climate change is a national
security concern. Meanwhile, the United Kingdom is integrating
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climate
change thinking into its strategic planning and at its recent summit in
Wales, NATO
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devoted
more time to the issue than it has hitherto.
Amongst the threats diagnosed by the authors of the road map are increased
frequency and severity of major climatic events, rising sea levels and
attendant erosion, heat waves, changing patterns in precipitation, and
growing conflict abroad. The US military is already having to devote
significant resources to coping with the effects of major weather events.
During the summer, USNORTHCOM battled wildfires
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across
much of the western United States – carrying out air drops that dropped
tens of thousands of gallons of fire retardant onto more than thirty
wildfires. Heat waves are projected to increase
<http://send.zcomm.org/wf/click?upn=CfxvrCXFYELtZdskNZLHR0dIc259CbJPYYp2kQLFwMHZA7ZSf1phARdauqZ6iGpAOoH1V9nsbbgR-2FOKY5SgVc7OU-2FnV5cSB-2FBb8fLdSRrfnMJzOOwL8baAG4cEUjhLUriBwRaDtvfI6sZU3zLSLXyB-2BLLbOcNNSVEdgS81YeDiM-3D_V-2FUUiW5KvBPNV-2FItFYsbuIFOqr58NacNTIV3-2FGcH-2BSA7oIseIVu-2BQfUQBBvdRTxBo-2BqfQBKzp6bKu3Z57SfJa7sgZi-2Fl6ti9PrOCNERAiFjqInyVJ6V9IT4bF4vbftPOyOPgWgjGJxG7EGACxBfqm-2BkAxko8S9zcLF84EKJbtcEyEw1vZbeQixRKnJwG3lIyMcwdUbKpqp-2FnvQ2YndS288JjKamLhoyqIJNHulya40A-3D>
in
the American South West, leading to more fires and increasing budgetary
pressure on the DoD.
Whilst climate change will cause the US military to be busier within the
United States the Pentagon also expects to increase its operations abroad
in response to climate fuelled conflict. A recent study
<http://send.zcomm.org/wf/click?upn=CfxvrCXFYELtZdskNZLHR0dIc259CbJPYYp2kQLFwMHZA7ZSf1phARdauqZ6iGpAOoH1V9nsbbgR-2FOKY5SgVc7OU-2FnV5cSB-2FBb8fLdSRrfnW-2B99p6QsZvsPECv70w6eCDwTRnbAQYrzqZhr6-2F5hTL0Vyla-2BVXE1Of-2BYhtm6i2a4-3D_V-2FUUiW5KvBPNV-2FItFYsbuIFOqr58NacNTIV3-2FGcH-2BSA7oIseIVu-2BQfUQBBvdRTxBo-2BqfQBKzp6bKu3Z57SfJa02c5aqoQCzwyaIBj2y02wdIoGtOLprkPu9QqXhp1MkPeZyDTteze-2FC19yVfZEYL-2FS9iAp9517eu17YNXGu-2BTfyUjLDdOl1cTtb-2FBUZpVBL4Hzg4Da-2BO2fmUGx6CFg4mI9CvDaiydYA7QQQUkxeAMdU-3D>
by
the National Bureau of Economic Research on the relationship between
climate and conflict suggests that the DoD is quite correct in this
expectation. Analysts found that a one-degree increase in global
temperature might lead to a 14% change in intergroup conflict. The world
is, of course, on track for far higher temperature increases – the already
frightening projections of the IPCC are likely to be considerable
underestimates
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.
The road map pays special attention to the Arctic where climate change is
opening up access to new hydrocarbon resources and sea routes. If there are
to be any winners from climate change, Canada and Russia are the most
likely beneficiaries as they gain access to new resources, and their
northern territories become open for agricultural production. It is no
coincidence that both states are at the forefront
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of
climate change denial. Hoping to benefit from a warming Arctic both Canada
and Russia are working to enhance their Naval capabilities in the region –
with particular emphasis on icebreakers. The US is playing catch up in this
regard, but the Navy and the US Coast Guard are moving rapidly to improve
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their
own Arctic capabilities.
A primary concern for the DoD is the impact of climate change on US
military bases and other installations. As the global hegemon American
concern is, of course, not restricted to military installations in the
United States but extends to the archipelago of more than 700 US bases
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and
other facilities across the globe. Climate change poses a genuine threat to
these installations and the ability of the United States to continue to
project power globally:
“DoD installations are in essence “power projection platforms” from which
the Department employs Forces across the full spectrum of military
operations. As such, adapting to changing climate conditions is critical to
the ability of the Department to address current and future threats, and
sustain its mission.”
The dangers posed to US facilities at home and abroad are neither
theoretical nor confined to the future. The report notes that American base
commanders are already responding to the impact of climate change. The US
Army Corps of Engineers for their part recently announced
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that
one in three US military coastal projects are vulnerable to climate change
– with one in four at extreme risk. Other threats the road map details are
the effects of climate change upon US weapons platforms and the dangers
climate change will pose to military supply chains. The manufacture of
American military hardware depends upon the import of resources from
outside the United States by private defence contractors. The military may
find it is necessary to increase operations abroad to ensure the
“stability” (meaning continued friendly disposition towards the United
States) of producer states. Climate change will further threaten the
effectiveness and combat readiness of US forces. The road map’s authors
note that deterioration of the DoD’s ‘natural infrastructure’ may impair
the ability of US forces to train in environments that are analogous to the
terrain in which they are deployed overseas.
The road map makes it clear that the DoD does not see climate change as an
opportunity to rethink the role of the United States military. As the
authors note the US military plays a very significant role in responding to
climate change crises both at home and abroad (the US has unmatched
capabilities for rapid respond around the world). And the Navy Fleet
Numerical Meteorological and Oceanographic Center
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and
the Air Force Weather Agency
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provide
valuable data on the changing climate. The United States could divert funds
from expensive and unnecessary weapons programs
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towards
these capacities and further improve its emergency response capabilities.
Unsurprisingly the Department of Defense shows little interest in this kind
of repurposing of the American military. Instead, the message from the DoD
is loud and clear – business as usual, routine interference in the affairs
of other states, and the maintenance of American military superiority – but
all of this in the context of a severely deteriorating environment. Whilst
the Pentagon’s commitment to the status quo is depressing, there is at
least some hope to be gleaned from the seriousness with which the
department takes the threat of climate change. The United States is a
country where the military enjoys enormous
<http://send.zcomm.org/wf/click?upn=CfxvrCXFYELtZdskNZLHR0dIc259CbJPYYp2kQLFwMHZA7ZSf1phARdauqZ6iGpAOoH1V9nsbbgR-2FOKY5SgVc7OU-2FnV5cSB-2FBb8fLdSRrflL1rcvTrh2s0HM4toXbJEo28Yk3xrv7Xxy107pzlsYzNZ6QwshCZ31wDZG9GjI6Js-3D_V-2FUUiW5KvBPNV-2FItFYsbuIFOqr58NacNTIV3-2FGcH-2BSA7oIseIVu-2BQfUQBBvdRTxBo-2BqfQBKzp6bKu3Z57SfJaysnwfMM2waKXSFYOjrjvZkQQGwZsC-2BzhNthB4wgzuu0uhUyA2Wvm7TxhKrJoX6jnN6ffOrnQ0Oqchb9tP06gYTpP3iS6HsixI-2BxnsSmuRWxe1G3d96qfvWhOmOB7uAdnS-2FQCMqs1R8dT2eVgrxBf8M-3D>,
if unwarranted, prestige. We can only hope that the American public start
paying closer attention to what the US military is saying and doing
regarding global climate change.
*Alex Doherty is a co-founder** of **New Left Project*
<http://send.zcomm.org/wf/click?upn=CfxvrCXFYELtZdskNZLHR0dIc259CbJPYYp2kQLFwMHZA7ZSf1phARdauqZ6iGpAOoH1V9nsbbgR-2FOKY5SgVc7OU-2FnV5cSB-2FBb8fLdSRrfmwtAyQuYPE96wQkXtdCFQcEGrM9soljnPQGP9fUPuRRwfUmwFpD6mC-2FiRJsxI-2BA1A-3D_V-2FUUiW5KvBPNV-2FItFYsbuIFOqr58NacNTIV3-2FGcH-2BSA7oIseIVu-2BQfUQBBvdRTxBo-2BqfQBKzp6bKu3Z57SfJawJkKiBH0zuan2pZv-2F9AIBEeh52AXgI3QbU5S02aO2fN9pC9Ek20kkwXAtdki5qZdVZS046fBGK-2BPtwZE4oo5ZSLFzrFNl-2FOpZbBbkK0qR4KyWLgRXlEkYiAQBCJz6i-2FsTaZce11xxPkbxMIZO42yr8-3D>*
and
a graduate student in the War Studies department of King’s College London.
He has written for **Z Magazine*
<http://send.zcomm.org/wf/click?upn=CfxvrCXFYELtZdskNZLHR0dIc259CbJPYYp2kQLFwMHZA7ZSf1phARdauqZ6iGpAOoH1V9nsbbgR-2FOKY5SgVc7OU-2FnV5cSB-2FBb8fLdSRrflSqdAknIP27CDlZuwM3abJFwGsJbxiUDMzowlGXbRrotBSIhfYHXq8TZn5-2ByzCx-2Bg-3D_V-2FUUiW5KvBPNV-2FItFYsbuIFOqr58NacNTIV3-2FGcH-2BSA7oIseIVu-2BQfUQBBvdRTxBo-2BqfQBKzp6bKu3Z57SfJazsfqD8jfzUPoznYhk4Vhnw6w4J5sfZn-2F2rUf-2BRQStPdI1Ej0uXQ1o5EKSlCzrCgGGAmm1LmONjG3QRriBRALgN3tqtOovZBDgcwqcXQgNYYmow8ZThG27PeReP3XwZ9lMZGFsaQQpBW32cJscAdws4-3D>
* and **Open Democracy*
<http://send.zcomm.org/wf/click?upn=CfxvrCXFYELtZdskNZLHR0dIc259CbJPYYp2kQLFwMHZA7ZSf1phARdauqZ6iGpAOoH1V9nsbbgR-2FOKY5SgVc7OU-2FnV5cSB-2FBb8fLdSRrfn0KH2APvGm8T4q5gGcn0OCRe5FbcMvbkRyuLU8cnbQNHteHt2eF4xcvxdt5Vzf9eg-3D_V-2FUUiW5KvBPNV-2FItFYsbuIFOqr58NacNTIV3-2FGcH-2BSA7oIseIVu-2BQfUQBBvdRTxBo-2BqfQBKzp6bKu3Z57SfJa3yDq8wZaDKp8WCq6-2Bsp6PSlNXjfXInmEKkjEbfqiG9cESwo74iCgD-2B3iP0TEvrMPbTowXrOfDfg41hyYBZKle7P-2FDKwVBPiodgaA0g0Q6FzxEl6Chih4Yg9xA3Y3AaTpdD5WRuvVX4mk1AzMUhnE6c-3D>*
amongst
other publications. You can follow him on twitter **@alexdoherty7
<http://send.zcomm.org/wf/click?upn=CfxvrCXFYELtZdskNZLHR0dIc259CbJPYYp2kQLFwMHZA7ZSf1phARdauqZ6iGpAOoH1V9nsbbgR-2FOKY5SgVc7OU-2FnV5cSB-2FBb8fLdSRrfk0zlJFeaOUT-2FIC1cmhj9HjsJqNI3CiD5MgrZ-2BX-2B3wKijST2SCj2A-2BJgQVsg64xH-2F4-3D_V-2FUUiW5KvBPNV-2FItFYsbuIFOqr58NacNTIV3-2FGcH-2BSA7oIseIVu-2BQfUQBBvdRTxBo-2BqfQBKzp6bKu3Z57SfJawJKifdOHasRKJyPmhA2P60pHwhXM-2BFhMTtd5-2FC7hfXYyI1cV1B5TBap7Vg3Of-2F6xudMZ3-2B0YrXFkbnbeu9gi-2FMlRb1D9-2FnLhinYVYjN4hTckiviSaBnxvIY6lUFBEiIDcj40wkWcUm-2FVEedbgdK1Is-3D>*
ZCommunications, 18 Millfield St., Woods Hole, MA, USA, 02543
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--
Check out the Commons Transition Plan here at:
http://en.wiki.floksociety.org/w/Research_Plan
P2P Foundation: http://p2pfoundation.net - http://blog.p2pfoundation.net
<http://lists.ourproject.org/cgi-bin/mailman/listinfo/p2p-foundation>Updates:
http://twitter.com/mbauwens; http://www.facebook.com/mbauwens
#82 on the (En)Rich list: http://enrichlist.org/the-complete-list/
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